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Many people have been taking about the chances of a civil war. The truth is, we are already in a war.
Regardless of what anyone believes, this is not an ideological war, a culture war or a war for beliefs... This is a war for the demographics.
Today I show you undeniable mathematical statistics of why identity politics and demographics is extremely important for the future of American politics. These numbers are based on if the current birth rates, immigration trends and voting trends continuing through the year 2050
REGISTER TO VOTE BEFORE DEADLINE! - https://www.usa.gov/register-to-vote#item-212645
VIDEO MENTIONED: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yGQCCFqvO1E
These numbers are based on if the current birth rates, immigration trends and voting trends continuing through the year 2050
2016
Total population in America in 2016 – 325,000,000
Hispanic Non-white population in 2016 – 18% which equals 58,500,000
Non-Hispanic white population in 2016 – 67% which equals 217,750,000
Black population in 2016 – 13% which equals 42,250,000
Asian population in 2016 – 5% which equals 16,250,000
'Others' (not included)
2016 ELECTION
Hispanic Non-white - 70% (approx.) for the democrat 29% for republican
Black – 88% for the democrat 8% for republican
Non-Hispanic white – 37% for the democrat 58% for the republican
Asians – 65% for the democrat 29% for republican
PEOPLE ALIVE TODAY OF ANY AGE WHO WOULD LIKELY VOTE DEMOCRAT:
Hispanic Non-white potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote democrat: – 40,950,000
Black potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote democrat: – 37,180,000
Non-Hispanic white potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote democrat: – 80,567,500
Asian potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote democrat: – 10,562,500
TOTAL potential voters alive in 2018 who would likely vote democrat = 169,260,000 (40% who actually voted, not including for independents)
PEOPLE ALIVE TODAY OF ANY AGE WHO WOULD LIKELY VOTE REPUBLICAN:
Hispanic Non-white potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote republican – 16,965,000
Black potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote republican – 3,380,000
Non-Hispanic white voters alive in 2018 who would vote republican – 126,295,000
Asian potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote republican – 4,712,500
TOTAL potential voters alive in 2018 who would vote republican= 151,352,500 (40% who actually voted, not including for independents)
MARGIN OF ADVANTAGE: (Plus 18 million for democrats)
7,000,000 who are of voting age and likely to vote or have voted
2050
Total population in America by 2050 – 398,000,000 (rounded up 400 million for simplicity)
Hispanic Non-white population by 2050 – 29% which equals 116 million
Non-Hispanic white population by 2050 – 40% which equals 160 million
Black population by 2050 – 13% which equals 52 million
Asian population in 2018 – 9% which equals 36 million
2050 ELECTION
Hispanic Non-white - 70% (approx.) for the democrat 29% for republican
Black – 88% for the democrat 8% for republican
Non-Hispanic white – 37% for the democrat 58% for the republican
Asians – 65% for the democrat 29% for republican
PEOPLE ALIVE IN 2050 OF ANY AGE WHO WOULD LIKELY VOTE DEMOCRAT:
Hispanic Non-white potential voters alive who would likely vote democrat in 2050: 81,200,000
Black potential voters alive who would likely vote democrat in 2050: 45,760,000
Non-Hispanic white potential voters alive who would likely vote democrat in 2050: 59,200,000
Asian potential voters alive who would likely vote democrat in 2050: 23,400,000
TOTAL potential voters alive in 2050 who would likely vote democrat = 209,560,000 (40% who actually voted, not including for independents)
PEOPLE ALIVE IN 2050 OF ANY AGE WHO WOULD LIKELY VOTE REPUBLICAN:
Hispanic Non-white potential voters alive who would vote republican in 2050: 33,640,000
Black potential voters alive who would vote republican in 2050: 4,160,000
Non-Hispanic white potential voters alive who would vote republican in 2050: 92,800,000
Asian potential voters alive who would vote republican in 2050: 10,440,000
TOTAL potential voters alive in 2050 who would vote republican= 141,040,000
(40% who actually voted, not including for independents)
MARGIN OF ADVANTAGE: (Plus 68 million for democrats)
20 million who will be of voting age and likely actually vote
Views on gun control by race: https://pewrsr.ch/2ChN3xj
Election polls vote by groups 1968 to 1972 used: https://bit.ly/2lNDmw0
Brookings poll | Working class voter polls 1956 to today show that whites are the only race to be evenly split sometimes on party and sometimes not: https://brook.gs/2KCN9Dn
PEW Research: Immigration impact on population in the US: https://pewrsr.ch/1L42bYz
Votes by races / racial groups for the 2016 election: https://bbc.in/2KstnLl
Population Statistics Census by year: https://bit.ly/2MLgNnp
